Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Paloumey Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 59% below | <1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vieille Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Pinot Noir Laurene Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 98% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Cote d'Or Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.63 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Madame Noly Saint Veran 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gavalas Vinsanto Santorini 2013 red · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Block Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery Old Scratch Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Grenache Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Kith and Kin Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lightpost Winery Jules De Brut Blanc De Blanc San Luis Obispo County 2018 sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luigi Giordano Barbaresco Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Markou Phenomena Savatiano Athens Vareli Greece White 2023 white · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renato Ratti Marcenasco Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salvaterra Amarone della Valpolicella 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trione River Road Ranch Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Vignoble Dauny Clos du Roy Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| harvey and harriet Red Wine Blend San Luis Obispo County 2020 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alessandro and Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2012 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $66.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alphonse Dolly Cuvee Silex Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Granbazan Etiqueta Ambar Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Chateau Pavie Esprit de Pavie Bordeaux Rouge 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sansonnet St Emilion 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.83 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Tour Pibran Pauillac 2015 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2024 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $28.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Mere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% below | <1% |
| Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.23 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eck Riesling Pfalz Trocken 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 1000 ml | $10.13 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Elk Cove Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Jaffurs Wine Cellars Syrah Santa Barbara County 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luca Old Vine Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Chardonnay Truchard Vineyard Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto White Alentejo 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reinhold Haart Riesling Piesporter Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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