Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Chateau de Segure Fitou Rouge 2023
red · 750 ml
$10.99——Fairly priced1%
Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2017
red · Sonoma · 375 ml
$10.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana Rosso 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$8.03 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Cristina Fattoria Le Maestrelle Rosso Toscana 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$4.23 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Turk Gelber Muskateller 2022
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Signae Sagrantino di Montefalco 2015
red · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Franzia Fruity Red Sangria
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$13.49 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +7% if it rises
Glenelly Glass Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Method Cabernet Sauvignon 2023
red · 750 ml
$12.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2019
red · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Borgo Lame Ghita Roero Arneis 2024
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Il Poggio Guerriero Falanghina Beneventano 2022
red · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Vincens Origine Malbec Cahors 2020
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Browne Family Heritage Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022
red · Washington · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Fortnight Cabernet Sauvignon 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lungarotti Vermentino Umbria 2024
white · 750 ml
$8.99 $9.99 Sale——Fairly priced1%
Voche Rioja Reserva 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bottega Gold Prosecco Rose
sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.43 $4.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Roubine La Vie en Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Barcelo Ile de Beaute Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Fossil Point Pinot Noir Edna Valley 2017
red · Central Coast · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Il Poggio Guerriero Falanghina Beneventano 2023
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Le Relais du Roi Principaute d'Orange IGP 2023
red · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Positivo Tinto Bairrada
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.93 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Les Hauts de Janeil Blanc Cotes Catalanes 2023
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Montes Alpha Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Sahari Beni N'Tir Gris Cuvee Morocco 2021
red · 750 ml
$7.13 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lungarotti Vermentino Umbria 2023
white · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paula Kornell Brut
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$21.99▲ 10.0%▲ 10.0%Fairly priced26%
typically +4% if it rises
Mingle Blood Orange Elderflower Sparkling Mocktail
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.39 0.0%▲ 4.4%Fairly priced25%
typically +5% if it rises
Tenuta Degli Dei Le Redini Toscana 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Marques de Penamonte Coleccion Privada Toro Tinto 2021
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$11.99——Fairly priced1%
I Campi Campo Base Soave 2023
white · Veneto · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bixby Creek Bridge Red Blend Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.09 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Carlos Serres Rioja Gran Reserva 2015
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$10.19 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Angels Ink Rose Central Coast 2021
rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Donati Family Vineyard Claret Paso Robles 2018
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$6.53 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenute Ca 'Botta Alta Valpolicella Ripasso Superiore 2018
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cerro Chapeu Reserva Tannat 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Vullien et Fils Jacquere Savoie Blanc 2021
white · 750 ml
$3.93 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lisini San Biagio Toscana Rosso 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
French Escape Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2025
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$10.99——Fairly priced<1%
Vignerons Ardechois Viognier 2025
white · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Cuatro Rayas Vinedos Centenarios Verdejo Rueda 2023
white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Mas des Falaises Cairanne 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$7.79 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tenuta Moraia Il Pacchia Rosso Maremma 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.59 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
And Why am I Mr Pink Rose Columbia Valley 2021
rosé · Washington · 750 ml
$2.73 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lodi Ave Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2022
red · Lodi · 750 ml
$5.39 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$18.73 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
851–900 of 6,416← PreviousNext →