Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torraiolo Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Gran Seleccion Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mezzacorona Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 14% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cavit Collection Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cavit Collection Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Juve Y Camps Pinot Noir Brut Rose Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Lavish Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bartenura Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Amontillado Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Cream Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Hartley And Gibson Oloroso Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Stella Rosa Naturals Sparkling Cranberry Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Frassinelli Prosecco Valdobiadenne Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Wine Chat Sleigh All Day Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Decoy Red Wine Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.4% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Los Monteros Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Predator Loveliness Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 19.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Valiant Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Alamos Seleccion Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 43% premium | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| le Fat Bastard Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| 1924 Double Gold Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 $17.49 Sale | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Crema Pinot Gris Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Fre White Zinfandel Alcohol Removed rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Rose NV sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ceibo Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Elmo Pio Sweet Red Brachetto red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 49% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Amore Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Cabernet Sauvignon Indian Wells Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Fre Premium Red Blend Alcohol Removed red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Nadia Pinot Noir Monterey red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Matua Lighter Sauvignon Blanc New Zealand white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ruffino Lumina Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32% below | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Alfredo Bertolani Dolce Fiore Lambrusco sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Celene Cuvee Royale Cremant de Bordeaux Brut sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau de Ribebon Bordeaux Superieur red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Oblivion Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Robert Willis Homestead Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Gruet Winery Brut New Mexico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Joel Gott 815 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| McBride Sisters Collection Black Girl Magic Sparkling Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | — | — | 45% below | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Cline Eight Spur Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
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