Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin White Winery La Fraternite Red Blend Yakima Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| La Crema Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 $29.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Maschio Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.89 $5.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Julia El Cabrito Natural Cabernet Sauvignon Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Webb Winery William White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $95.93 $320 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Chateau de Nalys Chateauneuf du Pape 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lucky Draw Cabernet Sauvignon California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chappellet Grower Collection Chardonnay Calesa Vineyard Petaluma Gap 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.93 $61.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Ecco Domani 90 Calories Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Force Majeure Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Masseria Li Veli Orion Primitivo Salento 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nine Hats Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vacheron Sancerre Blanc 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Feind Aliga Balatonfured Csopak Hungary White Blend 2024 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Julias Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2023 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leclerc Briant Extra Brut Champagne 2019 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $92.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +14% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.93 $142 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Oberon Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.19 $31.19 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Vina Santa Rita Triple C Red Blend Maipo Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ram's Gate Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Routestock Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Villa Antinori Chianti Classico Riserva 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Fevre Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $87.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giesen Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $15.99 | ▲ 23.1% | — | 31% premium | 3% |
| J Bookwalter Protagonist Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.73 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Ragose Valpolicella Ripasso Classico Superiore 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orchard Lane Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Thistle and Weed Duwweltjie Chenin Blanc Paarl 2019 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dom Perignon Brut Rose Champagne 2009 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $480 | — | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $350 $400 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Beaux Freres Belles Soeurs Pinot Noir Ribon Ridge Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $59.73 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Beaucastel Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $95.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Mercury Head Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 31% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Vincent Girardin Les Genevrieres 1er Cru Meursault 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Winemakers Selection Meritage Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Ben Marco Sin Limites Malbec Organic Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.93 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Forjas del Salnes Leirana Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Cottage Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Champagne Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $240 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Recougne Bordeaux Superieur Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
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