Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Louis Jadot Santenay Clos de Malte Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Flowers Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paltrinieri Pira Lambrusco di Sorbara 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volver Single Vineyard Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fox Run Vineyards Silvan Riesling 2019 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Carl Reh Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.84 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | 29% premium | 3% |
| Chateau de la Greffiere Chardonnay Macon Milly Lamartine 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot Three Palms Vineyard Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $65.93 $240 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Julias Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2022 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Pinot Noir Marlborough red · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | 29% premium | 1% |
| Ployez Jacquemart Champagne Extra Quality Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Porta 6 Vinho Branco Lisboa Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Viile Budureasca SRL Budureasca Orange Wine 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gamble Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Granza Ecologico Verdejo Rueda 2022 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.93 $117 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Starborough Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 13.3% | 30% premium | 3% |
| Vireton Pinot Noir By Archery Summit Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dominio de la Granadilla Verdejo 9 Meses Rueda 2020 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.13 $19.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Caceres Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Les Trois Roches Moulin a Vent 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | 1% |
| Renwood Estate Zinfandel Renwood Ranch Amador County 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Scharffenberger Brut Rose Mendocino County sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cockburn's Port Late Bottled Vintage dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Chandon de Briailles Pernand Vergelesses 1er Cru Ile de Vergelesses 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Chapelle Chambertin Gevrey Chambertin Grand Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Ferrari Carano Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.09 $29.09 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 30% premium | 4% |
| GoGi Goldie Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2018 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindquist Syrah Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Merlot Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2022 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Terra d'Aligi Tatone Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 2.3% | 30% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 $500 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gueguen Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rene Leclerc Gevrey Chambertin Combes Aux Moines 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $52.03 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Scacciadiavoli Montefalco Rosso 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $36.73 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Alzatura Montefalco Sagrantino 2015 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Willems Willems Riesling Feinherb Auf de Lauer 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Joguet Cuvee Terroir Chinon 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $900 | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $500 $900 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Umberto Cesari Sangiovese Reserva red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 30% premium | 3% |
| Castello Banfi Brunello di Montalcino red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $78.49 | ▲ 0.6% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
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