Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geantet Pansiot Gevrey Chambertin 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $94.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Neal Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calvet Cremant de Bordeaux Brut Rose sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flavia Etna Rosso 2018 red · Sicily · 1000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Bellechaume Sancerre Rouge 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Moselland Pfalz Rose Cat Bottle rosé · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +5% if it rises |
| Unshackled Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ava Grace Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Baron Philippe de Rothchild Escudo Rojo Syrah Maipo Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.23 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bernard Fouquet Domaine des Aubuisieres Cuvee de Silex Vouvray 2021 red · Loire · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caldirola Merry Christmas Sparkling Moscato sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | ▲ 26.7% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.93 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Rame Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donnafugata Anthilia Sicilia Bianco 2023 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Chardonnay Shale and Stone Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.03 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Val Albarino Rias Biaxas 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2024 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Sin Zin Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 1500 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Catena Zapata Alta Historic Rows Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jacob's Creek Shiraz Reserve red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sacha Lichine The Pale Vin de Pays du Var Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Budureasca Orange Wine Romania 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Buehler Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Cluster F Grenache Yakima Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Folonari Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.83 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | 28% premium | 1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge with Glass Pitcher Gift Set red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Marc Morey and Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $127 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | <1% |
| Gorman Winery The Devil You Dont Know Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Librandi Ciro Duca San Felice Riserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti Pometo Sangiovese Umbria 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mt Beautiful Pinot Noir North Canterbury 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Fonte Souto White Alentejo 2022 white · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alasia Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Antinori Tignanello Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $150 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Salvard Cheverny 2024 red · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Alexander Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Follette Lorenzo Vineyard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leonard Kreusch Gewurztraminer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | 28% premium | 4% |
| Pagodes de Cos Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $82.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce Gold red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saracco Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.21 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 28% premium | 1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Be Human Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Carl Reh Sweet Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cote Mas Pays d'Oc Red red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Drylands Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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