Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maior de Mendoza Fulget Albarino Rias Baixas 2020 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 1% |
| Mason Cellars Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 2% |
| Riondo Prosecco Spago Nero sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 20.0% | 26% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Te Mata Sauvignon Blanc Hawke's Bay 2023 white · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | <1% |
| Vina Leyda Garuma Single Vineyard Sauvignon Blanc Leyda Valley 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vins El Cep Pet Nat Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Oregon 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bulgariana Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | ▲ 37.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Leese Fitch Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 27% premium | 1% |
| Aslina Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% premium | <1% |
| Dalton Estate Merlot Galilee 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turley Zinfandel Evangelho Vineyard 2022 red · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Guiraud Sauternes 2022 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $45.99 | ▲ 7.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $81.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Bartolucci Vineyard St. Helena Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2022 red · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cristom Mt. Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Eola-Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Petit Estate Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roaming Dog Red Blend Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Vigna Loreto Barbaresco Ovello 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2022 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girard Artistry Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Meursault 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Red Blend Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $73.79 $123 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% premium | <1% |
| Solena Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Bella Vista Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Berangeraie Les Traverset Cahors 2023 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2022 white · 750 ml | $18.93 $67.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Enchantress Chardonnay Yakima Valley 2024 white · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| 3SAPAS Malbec Mendoza Reserva 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Nico Grand Pere Pinot Noir Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Graacher Domprobst Riesling GG 2021 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Codax Albarino white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 18.8% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Six Hats Gatsby Mourvedre Piekenierskloof 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Chillable Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | 27% premium | 4% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laetitia Brut Cuvee RM Arroyo Grande Valley sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oyster Bay Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 10000 Hours Red Mountain Red Blend 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Balletto Vineyards Zinfandel Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bistro Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Champagne Palmer Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
8,201–8,250 of 9,968← PreviousNext →