Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Oporto Tawny Port 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $43.19 $71.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rutini Cabernet Malbec Blend Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saracina Skid Row Malbec Mendocino County 2018 red · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Muriel Fincas de la Villa Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vidal Fleury Vacqueyras 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Fortitude Bordeaux Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | 1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Aldo Conterno Barolo Bussia 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auer BIO Gruner Veltliner Thermenregion 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Piedra Negra Organic Malbec Reserve Los Chacayes 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fernand and Fils Coteaux Du Giennois Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Assyrtiko Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lolea Red Sangria red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Saxon Brown Chardonnay Green Acres Hill Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Burro Natural Malbec Maipu 2024 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stags' Leap Sauvignon Blanc white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $31.99 Sale | ▲ 6.7% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stark Conde Cabernet Sauvignon Stellenbosch 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $28.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Torbreck Woodcutter's Shiraz Barossa Valley 2021 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $85.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre en Provence Cru Classe Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $20.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Chardonnay Carneros 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mercer Bros. Edge of Heaven Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terras Gauda O Rosal Rias Baixas 2023 red · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinum Cellars Typesetter Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Altovinum Evodia Garnacha Calatayud 2019 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casas del Bosque Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Rapel Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | <1% |
| Cooper and Thief Cellarmasters Red Wine Blend Aged in Bourbon Barrels red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.4% | 26% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Phinny Hill Vineyard Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matthews Winery Matthews Cuvee Red Blend 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silverado Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon GEO Coombsville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Soave white · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| B Side Pinot Noir North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 26% premium | 2% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt. Harlan 2021 red · 750 ml | $61.03 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Iron Horse Wedding Cuvee Green Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sojourn Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2011 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chappellet Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Vergers Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% premium | <1% |
| Quinta do Crasto DOC White Douro 2018 white · Douro · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas David Moreno Rioja Crianza Family Selection 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elizabeth Spencer Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gd Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Baudana 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Vacquita Natural Clarete Maipu 2024 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alta Vista Torrontes Mendoza Estate 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Etude Estate Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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