Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WALT La Brisa Sonoma Coast Pinot Noir 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $26.39 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Dauzac Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $31.19 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Bricco Faset 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Adelsheim Staking Claim Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Reserve Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.39 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Montersino 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Mignon Cuvee Comte de Marme Grand Cru Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fidelitas Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moutard Pere et Fils Rose de Cuvaison Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Margherita Chianti Classico Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 $25.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Virginie de Valandraud Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bootleg Prequel Red Wine Sonoma County 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cooper Mountain Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dutton Goldfield Pinot Noir Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kith and Kin Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $47.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Beaumonts Chorey Les Beaune Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melville Pinot Noir Estate Sta. Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $11.93 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bedrock Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Valley 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bouscaut Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Demarie Barolo Classico 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rose 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Latour Pouilly Fuisse white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose Gift Set rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.24 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| North Valley Vineyards Reserve Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Late Bottled Vintage Porto 2010 dessert · Douro · 750 ml | $21.59 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe McDaniels LFG Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hess Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Fladgate Porto Late Bottled Vintage dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.49 | ▲ 15.7% | ▲ 20.5% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Calling Chardonnay Dutton Ranch Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.99 | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bootleg Red Wine Napa County 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| COS Frappatto Terre Siciliane 2023 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hands of Time Pinot Noir Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.13 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2020 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Louise Vineyard Pinot Gris Eola-Amity Hills 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Huet Le Haut Lieu Vouvray Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Suremain La Bondue Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| WT Vintners Damavian Syrah Les Collines Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2017 red · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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