Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Julia Innovacion Chenin Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 1000 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 2% below | <1% |
| Arbor Mist Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2% below | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Simply Red Blend Washington State 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 2% below | <1% |
| Txakoli Primo Zarautz 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 1% below | <1% |
| Castle Rock Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 1% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Discovery Collection Rose Paso Robles 2020 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 1% below | <1% |
| Txakoli Primo Zarautz 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 1% below | <1% |
| Hook or Crook Cellars Heritage Chardonnay Lodi 2022 white · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 1% below | <1% |
| Chateau Benitey Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.99 $23.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bindi Sergardi Achille Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acre Zinfandel Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ciacci Piccolomini Ateo Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freelander District One Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Balboa Artist Series Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Davey and Brown Vortex Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2017 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Don Cristobal Cristobal 1492 Bonarda Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Decoded Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Sonoma County 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 375 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Los Principes Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Phoenix Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau La Commanderie Du Bardelet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Disznoko Tokaji Late Harvest 2020 dessert · 500 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ten to Life Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +9% if it rises |
| Terras do Sado Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Olarra Reciente Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tetramythos Roditis Patras 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Omen Pinot Noir Rogue Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calafe Taurasi 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2023 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Headturner The Nerve Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Longhand Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zaha Toko Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paraje Altimira Mendoza Argentina Estate 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barrage Cellars Double Barrel Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2015 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Perrier et Fils Altus Apremont Savoie 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Voces El Viajero Red Blend Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Flavs Soave Classico 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Redemption Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Custard Chardonnay Sonoma Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
801–850 of 6,416← PreviousNext →