Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Santa Julia Innovacion Chenin Chardonnay Mendoza 2021
white · Mendoza · 1000 ml
$7.99 0.0%—2% below<1%
Arbor Mist Peach Moscato
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%2% below5%
typically +12% if it rises
Simply Red Blend Washington State 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—2% below<1%
Txakoli Primo Zarautz 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—1% below<1%
Castle Rock Sauvignon Blanc 2023
white · 750 ml
$9.99——1% below1%
DAOU Vineyards and Winery Discovery Collection Rose Paso Robles 2020
rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$18.99 0.0%—1% below<1%
Txakoli Primo Zarautz 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—1% below<1%
Hook or Crook Cellars Heritage Chardonnay Lodi 2022
white · Lodi · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—1% below<1%
Chateau Benitey Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$14.39 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$23.99——Fairly priced1%
Chateau Fleur Badon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$21.99 $23.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Bindi Sergardi Achille Toscana Rosso 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$8.73 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Achaval Ferrer Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2019
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$11.23 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Acre Zinfandel Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ciacci Piccolomini Ateo Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$11.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Freelander District One Cabernet Sauvignon 2021
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Balboa Artist Series Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$20.99——Fairly priced<1%
Davey and Brown Vortex Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2017
red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Don Cristobal Cristobal 1492 Bonarda Mendoza 2024
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$9.99——Fairly priced1%
Decoded Pinot Noir Russian River Valley Sonoma County 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Banfi Centine Toscana Rosso
red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99 0.0%▲ 20.0%Fairly priced8%
typically +12% if it rises
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 375 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Finca Los Principes Rioja Gran Reserva 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$17.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2022
red · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2016
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$20.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Red Phoenix Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$15.99——Fairly priced2%
Chateau La Commanderie Du Bardelet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%—Fairly priced6%
typically +10% if it rises
Disznoko Tokaji Late Harvest 2020
dessert · 500 ml
$14.39 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ten to Life Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Sterling Vineyards Blanc de Blancs
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced13%
typically +9% if it rises
Terras do Sado Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Olarra Reciente Rioja Gran Reserva 2015
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Tetramythos Roditis Patras 2021
red · 750 ml
$4.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Omen Pinot Noir Rogue Valley 2021
red · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana Rosso 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Calafe Taurasi 2018
red · 750 ml
$19.99——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$11.99 $13.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Montrose Solis Lumen Orange 2023
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Headturner The Nerve Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2022
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Longhand Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$16.99 $17.99 Sale——Fairly priced<1%
Jose Maria da Fonseca Anticiclone Tinto Peninsula de Setubal 2021
red · 750 ml
$5.73 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zaha Toko Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paraje Altimira Mendoza Argentina Estate 2018
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$6.93 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barrage Cellars Double Barrel Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2015
red · Washington · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Jean Perrier et Fils Altus Apremont Savoie 2022
red · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Voces El Viajero Red Blend Sonoma Valley 2019
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Flavs Soave Classico 2020
white · Veneto · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Alexander Valley Vineyards Redemption Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley 2017
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Custard Chardonnay Sonoma Valley
white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%—Fairly priced8%
typically +7% if it rises
801–850 of 6,416← PreviousNext →