Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Santa Julia Organica Malbec del Mercado red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Seeker Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Presto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.71 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Elmo Pio Asti Spumante sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Periodic Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Renzo Masi Chianti Rufina Riserva red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jean Perrier Cremant de Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Margherita Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Sonoma Vineyards Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 48% below | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bota Box Breeze Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Box Wize Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.49 | ▲ 4.5% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fre Chardonnay Alcohol Removed white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Frankenstein Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes the Bride of Frankenstein Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cult Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | 3% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sampietrana Tacco Barocco Primitivo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 12% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Creamery Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Dry Creek Fume Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Taylor Port Black dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Codorniu Limited Edition Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Elmo Pio Sparkling We Are ZeRO Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Jaume Serra Bouquet Brut Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jaume Serra Bouquet Rose Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Frontera Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Monte Bernardi Fiasco Vino Rosso red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 | 0.0% | — | 12% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Relax Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.49 | ▲ 2.1% | ▲ 22.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Le Contesse Prosecco Single Fermentation Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Wellsley Farms Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Riondo Prosecco Spago Nero sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 20.0% | 26% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wente Vineyards Southern Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Livermore Valley red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau La Commanderie Du Bardelet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cleto Chiarli Lambrusco Grasparossa di Castelvetro sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Cora Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Golden Gate Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Golden Gate Cellars Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Il Casato Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kalyana Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Kalyana Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sphinx Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
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