Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eola Hills Winery Reserve Muscat Ottonel Wolf Hill Vineyard 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| L'Esprit de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2018 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mussel Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pazo De Villarei Abadia Do Seixo Albarino Rias Baixas 2020 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rieslingfreak No 33 Reverence of Riesling Clare Valley Dry 2022 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Forge Cellars Dry Riesling Classique Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muirwood Sauvignon Blanc Arroyo Seco Monterey 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Riesling Kirchberg de Barr Alsace Grand Cru 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 9.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Mumm Napa Blanc de Blancs white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Centine Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Canyon Road Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beauchene Grand Reserve Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Motte Maucourt Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clay Shannon Chardonnay El Coyote Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Natural Origins Unoaked Chardonnay Mendoza Box 2021 white · Mendoza · 3000 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dupre Chardonnay Bourgogne 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elsa Bianchi Torrontes 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Forge Cellars Dry Riesling Classique Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Carr Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Noble Vines 242 Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ombremont Bourg Lachamps Sauvignon Blanc Coteaux de l'Ardeche 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Athenaeum Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bucket List Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 29% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Gewurztraminer McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lagaria Pinot Grigio Ramato Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2019 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $9.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leonard Kreusch Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Barrel Aged Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vendange Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | ▼ 8.3% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Castle Rock Chardonnay Central Coast 2024 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Chardonnay Eola Amity Hills 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Single Post Riesling QbA 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Riesling Semi Dry Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Au Contraire Chardonnay Russian River Sonoma County 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Babich Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Harvest Select Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine de la Geraudrie Clos de la Geraudrie Granite Muscadet Sevre et Maine 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Vidal Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Grounded by Josh Phelps Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stoller Winery Estate Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Chablis Vaucoupins 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Forge Cellars Dry Riesling Classique Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mylonas Assyrtiko Attika 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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