Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanati Rose Galilee 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Limited Edition Reserve Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.93 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acustic Cellar Acustic Red Montsant 2022 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $80.03 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Clocher Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Estournelles Saint Jacques Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $135 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Sekt Riesling Extra Dry NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Marietta Cellars Old Vine Red Lot 73 California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Recanati Rose Galilee 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Toscana Rosso 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $68.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa des Anges Cinsault Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 20.0% | — | 23% premium | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bergstrom Old Stones Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Penin Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Gebert Scheurebe Rheinhessen 2022 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Herencia La Palabra Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jolete Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 23% premium | 1% |
| Real Companhia Velha Porto Malvasia White dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Riunite Peach Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sophie Bertin Pinot Noir Vin de France 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bee You Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine la Guicharde Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EG by Educated Guess Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.33 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Imagery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 23% premium | 24% typically +5% if it rises |
| K Vintners The Hidden Northridge Syrah Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Pinot Noir Elgin 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Olivier Tricon Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricca Terra Daisy Chain White Blend Riverland 2020 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Pet Nat Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Infamous Goose Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Borgogno Freisa Langhe 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Font de Courtedune Cotes du Rhone Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.53 $21.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2024 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Shafer Red Shoulder Ranch Chardonnay Carneros 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.03 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Sweet Red Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | 2% |
| Dr Thanisch Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Mosel Auslese 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Evelyne Brut Reserve Blanc de Blancs California Non Vintage sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Alcohol Removed Sauvignon Blanc Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Koha Pinot Noir Marlborough 2022 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% premium | <1% |
| Solis Lumen Vin de Pays d'Oc Rose 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terra Vega Cabernet Sauvignon Central Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Addendum by Fess Parker Skellenger Lane Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $87.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +35% if it rises |
| Henry Lagarde Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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