Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lost Poet Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Memo Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moillard Grivot Petit Chablis white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mylonas Savatiano Attika 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pedroncelli Cabernet Sauvignon Three Vineyards Dry Creek Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Syrah Sparkling Rose Columbia Valley Non Vintage sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Presidential Tawny Port 20 Year Old Ships Decanter dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ricasoli Castello di Brolio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot Monterey County Aged in Rum Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +3% if it rises |
| Sella and Mosca Vermentino di Sardegna 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Terra Vega Malbec Central Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Wilhelmsberg Bacchus Franken 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Morning Fog Chardonnay Livermore Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cline Cellars Ancient Vines Zinfandel Contra Costa County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Pascal Bonhomme Vire-Clesse 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Eroica Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $55.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| French Flair Le Classique Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Genio Espanol Roble Monastrell Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Great Western Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Santa Julia La Mantis Natural Petnat Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Zinfandel Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.53 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 7 Deadly Red Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Martinolles Le Berceau Blanquette de Limoux Brut sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Sangria white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Riunite Blackberry Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wilhelm Walch Pinot Nero Prendo Vigneti delle Dolomiti 2021 red · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Eight Spur Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Cheveau Au Buchot Pouilly Fuisse 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Formiga de Vellut Priorat 2020 red · Priorat · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Chardonnay Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 white · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Vigna Nuove Roero Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ridgecrest Estate Dry Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| A to Z Wineworks Riesling Oregon 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | ▲ 17.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| DiamAndes de Uco Malbec Uco Valley 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Ocean Reserve Blanc de Blanc Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Cuvee 20 Brut Russian River Valley sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luna Di Luna Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mouton Cadet x Pierre Rouge Bordeaux red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunny With a Chance of Flowers Rose Monterey rosé · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Torresella Pinot Grigio Venezia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Balletto Vineyards Pinot Gris Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vatan Triton Tempranillo Toro 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Krug Family Reserve Generations Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conundrum Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% premium | 4% |
| DFJ Vinhos Portada Lisboa Tinto red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 22% premium | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
7,851–7,900 of 9,968← PreviousNext →