Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantina Gabriele Pinot Grigio Lazio 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Escaravailles Les Sablieres Cotes du Rhone 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre en Provence Cru Classe Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mionetto Organic Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Monte del Fra Casa Capitei Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ovis Betsy's Vineyard Petite Sirah High Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pike Road Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Tondonia Reserva Tinto Rioja 2012 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $64.99 | ▲ 18.2% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Val delle Rose Morellino di Scansano 2021 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Azienda Elios Modus Bibendi Macerato Non Filtrado Terre Siciliane Bianco Biodynamic 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21% premium | 11% typically +9% if it rises |
| La Crema Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Syrah Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nisia Verdejo Rueda Old Vines 2025 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Two Hands Lily's Garden Shiraz McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Kakheti Qvevri Saperavi Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $38.73 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Georges De Latour Private Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $155 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benigna's Creek Hessian Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cantina Gabriele Sangiovese Lazio 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Massalarie Premiere Note Carignan Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 85 Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Gamay Coteaux Bourguignons Rose 2025 rosé · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Predator Loveliness Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 19.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 7.1% | 21% premium | 4% |
| Calafe Fiano di Avellino 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Monbousquet Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Foxhorn Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marimar Estate La Masia Don Miguel Vineyard Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paringa Sparkling Shiraz South Australia 2020 sparkling · South Australia · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Recanati Sauvignon Blanc Galilee 2023 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Syrah Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Substance Ch Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Pinot Grigio Lazio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Lafon Rochet Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $63.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Diora Estate Grown La Grande Lumiere Chardonnay San Bernabe Vineyard Monterrey 2020 white · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dupeuble Beaujolais Rouge 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchesi di Barolo Maraia Barbera del Monferrato red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vigneti Romio Sangiovese Appassimento Rubicone 2024 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Paul Mas Clos des Mures Languedoc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Fetzer Chardonnay Sundial white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
7,801–7,850 of 9,968← PreviousNext →