Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgante Nero d'Avola 2020 red · 750 ml | $14.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penguin Bay Vidal Blanc Ice 2013 white · 375 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zonin Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.20 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sauvignon Blanc 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 4% |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena DV Tinto Historico Red Blend Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize les Creuzettes Pouilly Fuisse 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Meiomi Bright Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Septima Obra Malbec Reserva Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Beach by Whispering Angel Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| Wapisa Pinot Noir Patagonia 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Alta Vista Estate Malbec Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Moscato Lazio 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Dom Ruinart Champagne Rose 2007 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Ouches Bourgueil Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gazela Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | 20% premium | 2% |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Map Maker Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 407 Cabernet Sauvignon Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solis Lumen Vin de Pays d'Oc Rose 2025 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell'Etna Ciuri Vino Bianco 2022 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hareter Naturschonheit Burgenland 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta Santa Cecili Nero d'Avola Noto 2016 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Medalla Real Sauvignon Blanc Gran Reserva Leyda Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Agusti Torello Mata Cava Brut Reserva 2017 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antinori Tignanello 2020 red · 750 ml | $106 $176 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Alain Cailbourdin Les Racines Pouilly Fume 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Bertagna Les Murgers Nuit Saint Georges 1er Cru 2017 red · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dumol Wester Reach Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $48.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Kermit Lynch Vin de Pays de Vaucluse Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Red Wine Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Cristina Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 3.8% | — | 21% premium | 4% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Clos de L'Oratoire Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2024 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Old Vine Red Lot 74 red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Reinhold Haart Riesling Piesporter Mosel Kabinett 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Skouras Assyrtiko 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sobon Estate Zinfandel Amador County Rocky Top 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehaven Windward Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Blandy's Bual Madeira 10 Year Old dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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