Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Chamilly Montagny Les Bassets 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du val Hirondelle Vineyard Three Graces Stags Leap District 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.93 $175 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Harsanyi Ciroka Dry Furmint Single Vineyard Tokaji Hungary White 2023 dessert · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Christopher Pinot Noir Medici Vineyard Chehalem Mountain 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lail Vineyards Blueprint Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Melville Estate Syrah Sta. Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $43.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Demi Sec Cuvee Sublime sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $41.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $290 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Val di Suga Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alavida Organic Kosher Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Fiou Terroir Silex Sancerre 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| FitVine Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 5.9% | ▲ 16.1% | 20% premium | 21% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel En Aarde Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $57.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Spatlese Wehlener Sonnenuhr 2023 white · 750 ml | $46.79 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Merlot Galilee 2023 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Keenan Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $48.43 $63.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Organica Malbec del Mercado red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Taittinger Comtes de Champagne Grand Cru Blanc de Blancs 2011 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $115 $225 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Fruit Moscato 4x375 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.23 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Beso Del Sol Sangria Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Christopher Michael Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Double Canyon Winery Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Niente Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley Estate Bottled 2018 red · Napa Valley · 1500 ml | $275 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lunetta Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 28.6% | 20% premium | 3% |
| Santa Julia La Vaquita Natural Clarete Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Suavia Soave Classico 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Sparina Barbera del Monferrato 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Les Elements Gewurztraminer Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 750 ml | $60.99 $63.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| F E Trimbach Gewurztraminer Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Cret de Bine Le Terroir du Martin Beaujolais Rouge 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine By Joe Pinot Noir Oregon 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bosman Family Vineyards Generation 8 Chenin Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $110 $370 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Earthquake Zinfandel Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Textbook Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Chaddsford Sunset Blush rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +6% if it rises |
| Charles and Charles Bolt Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cru Classe Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franklin Hill Vineyards Sir Walter's Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Gerard Bertrand Cremant de Limoux Brut Rose 2020 sparkling · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | <1% |
| Luna Di Luna Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| McManis Family Vineyards Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 20% premium | 1% |
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