Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 Double Gold Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 $17.49 Sale | ▲ 2.9% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Earthquake Zinfandel Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Emiliana G e Red Blend Colchagua 2017 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca Decero Owl and Dust Devil Red Blend Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francine Bachelier Reserve du Sanglier Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pike Road Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Primo Amore Moscato Veneto white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.90 $11.96 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cadet De La Begude IGP Mediterranee Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Thomas Tradition Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Filomusi Guelfi Cerasuolo d'Abruzzo Superiore Rosato 2021 rosé · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Genetie Illumine Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pascal Jolivet Attitude Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Portlandia Hyland Vineyard Pinot Noir McMinnville 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tall Dark Stranger Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.83 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa des Anges Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | 19% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Virtue Cellars Charisma Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19% premium | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Casas del Toqui Gran Toqui Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2018 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.73 $179 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bouchard Pere et Fils Nuits Saint Georges Les Cailles 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $152 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| El Coto Imaz Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paul Jourdan Reserve des Oliviers Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riff Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vinha da Fonte Touriga Nacional Vinho Regional Peninsula de Setubal 2023 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barnard Griffin Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2022 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonniere Hautes Brusquieres Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Merlot Estate Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot La Grande Dame Champagne Brut 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Blaignan Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Croft Pink Port Douro Valley Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Gerard Millet Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Blanck Classique Riesling Alsace 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2025 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery Old Scratch Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Columbia Valley white · Washington · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Crest Sauvignon Blanc H3 Horse Heaven Hills white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Glen Ellen Chardonnay Reserve white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 29.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schramsberg Brut Rose Methode Traditionnelle North Coast 2020 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Fageto Fenesia Pecorino Offida 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Water Wheel the Estate Red Blend Bendigo 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Mini Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chacewater Orange Muscat Lake County 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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