Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silverado Vineyards GEO Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $81.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Piesporter Goldtropfchen Kabinett Mosel 2018 red · Mosel · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Torraiolo Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| King Estate Willamette Valley Brut Cuvee 2017 sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2024 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19% premium | 1% |
| Truth Be Told Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Atlantis Verdelho Madeirense 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Cibonne Tentations Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna V18 Vasca Diciotto Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2021 red · Sicily · 3000 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Claude Martin Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gd Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hampton Water Languedoc Rose 2020 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Limited Cabernet Sauvignon Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Skinnygirl White Blend California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Illusionist Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.43 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taittinger Nocturne Sec Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $40.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ava Grace Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2021 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Delaforce Curious and Ancient Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Diseno Malbec Mendoza Old Vines red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Eradus Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lafage Miraflors Rose Cotes Catalanes 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Lion du Marquis de Las Cases Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $42.03 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Terra D'Oro Barbera Amador County 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zaca Mesa Inceptive Estate Vineyard Red Blend Santa Ynez Valley 2017 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alamos Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cade Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calera Chardonnay Mt Harlan 2018 white · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Saint Roch Old Vines Rose Cotes du Roussillon 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Costes du Chateau Feret Lambert Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Cote d'Or Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Love Noir Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| San Roman Prima Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home White Zinfandel 2x1.5 L Multipack rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | 19% premium | 2% |
| Tapestry Central Coast Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| A to Z Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Albarella 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Sparkling White sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Fillaboa Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $20.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | 1% |
| Bodegas Sierra Cantabria Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Castello di Verrazzano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domodimonti Picens Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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