Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Magnolia Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Campo Maccione Morellino di Scansano 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Palmer Alter Ego Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Red Mountain Cabernet Sauvignon 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $26.23 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Penedes Cava sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dark Horse Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Delaforce His Eminence's Choice Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Les Grands Bois Cuvee Marc Rasteau 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Staete Landt Annabel Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Chardonnay Los Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Winery at Wilcox Clarion River Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Buttery Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.93 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cakebread Cellars Pinot Noir Two Creeks Vineyards Anderson Valley 2023 red · 750 ml | $50.99 $54.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greg norman Estates Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Grand Reserve Chardonnay Santa Barbara County white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.5% | 18% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pyrene L'Inoubliable Cuvee Marine Colombard Gros Manseng Sauvignon Blanc Languedoc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Affentaler Riesling Baden 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amos Rome Vineyards Estate Riesling 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ardosia White Tejo 2021 white · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Balletto Vineyards Rose Russian River Valley 2024 rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boen Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2018 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clement et Florian Berthier Sancerre Rose 2020 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Jean Francois Merieau Bois Jacou Gamay de Touraine 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Les Boudots Nuits Saint Georges 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $65.03 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Nissley Spicy Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.93 $170 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rebellious Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 2% |
| Two Hands Bella's Garden Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Urban Riesling Mosel 2024 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $33.53 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Chardonnay Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | 18% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Greysac Medoc red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | ▲ 10.3% | ▲ 45.5% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vecchia Modena Lambrusco di Sorbara Brut 2020 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| FEL Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2023 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kris Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.59 $14.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| La Ruchette Doree Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabor Winery Adama Cabernet Sauvignon 2018 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bellacana Vineyards Indigenous Red Blend Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cheval Blanc Saint Emilion Grand Cru Classe 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $375 $750 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Montelena Estate Cabernet Sauvigon Calistoga Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $170 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cora Pinot Grigio 2025 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Decoy Limited Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Jean Pascal et Fils Meursault 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| Ghost Vines Oaked Cabernet Sauvignon Pays d'Oc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Guarachi Family Wines Cabernet Sauvignon Meadowrock Vineyard Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hampton Water Languedoc Rose 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacob's Creek Shiraz Cabernet red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | 18% premium | 1% |
| Mia Lou Roter Riesling Rheingau 2022 white · Rheingau · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
7,501–7,550 of 9,968← PreviousNext →