Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Murviedro Arts de Luna Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Quivira Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Cuvee Riquette Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Kremser Weinberge Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Gelida Blanc de Blancs Cava Brut Nature Gran Reserva 2018 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Le Goat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 20% below | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cardwell Hill Cellars Estate Bottled Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Primaterra Pinot Nero delle Venezie 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego El Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Jacob's Creek Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 4% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Cabernet Sauvignon Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Imagery Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pol Roger Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $79.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 51.0% | 20% below | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Colli Senesi 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Canyon Road Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | 2% |
| Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Jacques Bardelot Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.03 $41.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | 1% |
| Murrieta's Well Estate Vineyard Small Lot Malbec Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Bourgogne Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Rocca Amornero Rosso Puglia 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 19% below | 1% |
| Bodegas Taron Tempranillo Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 19% below | 4% |
| Natura Organic Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Trebbiano Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 | ▼ 10.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Blanc Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Treveri Cellars Blanc de Blanc Sparkling Yakima Valley Brut sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 19% below | 1% |
| Domaine de Fabregues Chateau de Vissandre Languedoc 2018 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.49 $4.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 19% below | 3% |
| Franzia Refreshers Strawberry Rose rosé · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 1% |
| Jas des Vignes Alpes de Haute Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.64 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 18% below | 2% |
| H Billiot Fils Champagne Brut Reserve Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 $56.99 Sale | ▼ 8.1% | — | 18% below | 16% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sartori Love Story Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18% below | 1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Heritance Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% below | <1% |
| Attems Pinot Grigio Ramato Rose Friuli 2024 rosé · Friuli · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 17% below | 1% |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Ice Pack Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Signae Rossobastardo Umbria Rosso 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | <1% |
| Mapreco Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 17% below | 4% |
| Cantina della Pioppa Lambrusco di Modena Biologico sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
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