Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Vineyards Three Valley Red Blend Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | ▲ 2.0% | ▲ 20.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beau Vigne Juliet Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Valo Cabernet Sauvignon Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonanza The Vinekeeper Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Corinne et Jean Pierre Grossot Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Collection Iron Corral Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Whitehall Lane Rassi Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.03 $29.09 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Somos Cabernet Franc McLaren Vale 2019 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $7.73 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arnoux et Fils Vieux Clocher Symphonie des Galets Chateauneuf du Pape 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Eric et Joel Durand Premices Cornas 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Beaune Theurons 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aubichon Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Begue Mathiot Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Beauregard Maranges Cote de Beaune Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Vice The House Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Machete 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.73 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote D'Or Bourgogne 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Reserva Unfiltered 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Bligny Blanc de Blancs Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.73 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joannet Pinot Noir Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lightpost Winery Jules De Brut Blanc De Blanc San Luis Obispo County 2018 sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Aszu Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2013 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Derby Wine Estates Petite Sirah Laura's Vineyard Paso Robles 2015 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vieille Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jacques Saumaize Le Haut de la Roche Pouilly Fuisse Vieilles Vignes 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Spatlese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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