Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapaura Springs Classic Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Napa 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | ▲ 3.6% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley Reserve 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Riesling McMinnville 2022 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sonoma Cutrer Chardonnay Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.55 $21.10 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Black Box Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Coopers Creek Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Dao White 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oberon Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.84 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Riesling Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clay Shannon Betsy Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Forest Project Paso Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fiorellino White Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2024 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | ▼ 4.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Couly Dutheil Le Chenin Chenin Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Le Chenin Chinon Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Holiday Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| ICON Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Estancia Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frei Brothers Sonoma Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Russian River Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Mastroberardino Fiano d'Avellino 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sagelands Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tussock Jumper Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Grace Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Graacher Himmelreich Riesling GG Alte Reben 2021 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Newt Cellars Newt Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Seeker Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Villa Jolanda Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Avia Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.71 $11.42 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brancott Flight Song Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Familia Zuccardi Q Chardonnay Uco Valley 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vieilles Vignes 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Wolf Pinot Gris Pfalz 2022 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Estate Grown Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2023 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Montmains Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Pinot Gris Alsace Reserve 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Dry Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Gai'a Notios Assyrtiko Peloponnese Greece White 2023 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greywacke Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hess Select Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.03 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
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