Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Chateau Tauzinat L'Hermitage Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.49 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Chateau la Croix de Gay Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | 143% premium | <1% |
| Damilano Barolo Lecinquevigne 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Guy Amiot et Fils Les Caillerets Chassagne Montrachet 1er Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pere Caboche Elisabeth Chambellan Chateauneuf du Pape Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lail Vineyards J Daniel Cuvee Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $210 $310 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 347% premium | <1% |
| Michel Sarrazin Maranges Rouge 2022 red · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 90% premium | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $240 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $27.59 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Artesa Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Borreo Single Vineyard Sangiovese Rosa Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castellare I Sodi di San Niccolo Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 404% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Beauchene Vignobles de la Serriere Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Clos Marsalette Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| ColleMassari Montecucco Rosso Riserva 2019 red · 750 ml | $25.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jeannin Naltet Clos des Grands Voyens Monopole Mercurey 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Sylvain Dussort Meursault Vielles Vignes 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Experience Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goretti Sagrantino di Montefalco 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 $59.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 205% premium | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 3000 ml | $1,600 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Jet Black Syrah Horse Heaven Hills 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| Bibi Graetz Testamatta Sangiovese Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 218% premium | <1% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt. Harlan 2021 red · 750 ml | $61.03 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano Riserva 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantenac Brown Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Duhart Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Maucaillou Moulis en Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ormes de Pez Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.53 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $86.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
751–800 of 2,413← PreviousNext →