Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruffino Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silk and Spice Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| XXL Sparkling Moscato Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Mini Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Pink Moscato white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 17% premium | 4% |
| Taittinger Brut Champagne Millesime 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Clay Shannon The Barkley Cabernet Sauvignon Lake County 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les Aphillanthes 1921 Rasteau 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Rose Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Prophecy Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Trione Flatridge Ranch Zinfandel 2018 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clinet Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cortonesi La Manella Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Meursault 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $43.79 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Marc Deschamps Les Champs de Cri Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vetriccie White Corse 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleue Rose IGP Mediterranee 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Spinetta Vermentino 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lydian GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torre de Ona Finca San Martin Crianza Rioja 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Pozzi Nero d'Avola Sicily red · Sicily · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vivier Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ardosia Red Tejo 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.23 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.44 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Puygueraud Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Petrignano Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EYA Organic Monastrell Jumilla 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foppiano Vineyards Petite Sirah Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchesi Di Barolo Barolo red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 $54.99 Sale | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Oyster Bay Chardonnay Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Sean Minor Pinot Noir California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Contratto Millesimato Pas Dose Metodo Classico 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.93 $57.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine d'Orfeuilles Sparkling Rose Touraine Non Vintage sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Salvard Cheverny Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Justin Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loosen Dr L Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% premium | <1% |
| Alvear Cream Sherry Montilla Moriles dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Amity Pinot Blanc Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Philippe de Rothchild Escudo Rojo Cabernert Sauvignon Maipo Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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