Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Miraval Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16% premium | <1% |
| Penfolds St. Henri Shiraz Australia 2020 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $44.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Cuvee Lina Riesling Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catherine et Michel Langlois Coteaux du Giennois Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Billard Pere et Fis Pommard 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.79 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Esterhazy Estate Estoras Gruner Veltliner Burgenland 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Cabernet Sauvignon Estate Grown Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Golden West Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hampton Water Languedoc Rose 2022 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Auslese Graacher Himmelreich 2022 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Middle Sister Sweet and Sassy Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 16% premium | 1% |
| Mionetto Alcohol Removed Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pasaeli 6N Karasakiz Aegean Turkey Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 389 Red Blend Australia 2021 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2022 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 1% |
| BACA Zinfandel Double Dutch Dusi Vineyard Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intrinsic Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| La Serena Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards The Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers Sage Canyon Red Wine California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bartenura Moscato Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 17% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $480 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hedges Family Estate Red Mountain Estate Red Wine 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Select Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Miraja Le Masche Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2018 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Pharrell Nectar Imperial Rose Demi Sec Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Zinfandel Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Underwood Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% premium | 4% |
| Alta Vista Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 17% premium | 4% |
| Gruet Sparkling Demi Sec sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Long Meadow Ranch Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Gold Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.73 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| M Chapoutier Crozes Hermitage Les Meysonniers Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Etna Rosso Guardoilvento 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Williams and Humbert Don Zoilo Oloroso 15 Year Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Reserva 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Raspail Ay Gigondas 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Avant Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
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