Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juggernaut Hillside Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mastroberardino Novaserra Greco di Tufo 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Estate Torrontes Mendoza 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Fouquette Rose d Aurore Cotes de Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr L Sparkling Riesling NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fetzer Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Frederic Esmonin Pinot Noir Clos Prieur Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 16% typically +6% if it rises |
| Maison Joseph Drouhin Vaudon Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Murphy Goode Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Pierre Amadieu Romane Machotte Gigondas 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Planeta La Segreta il Bianco 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Merlot Upper Galilee 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Relax Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.49 | ▲ 2.1% | ▲ 22.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.23 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Williams and Humbert Dry Sack Sherry Medium Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Barsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $33.99 $39.99 Sale | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Herdade dos Grous Moon Harvested Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hiruzta Txakoli Getariako Txakolina 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabali Pedregoso Carmenere Cachapoal Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.73 $88.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canoe Ridge The Explorer Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bastor Lamontagne Sauternes 2018 dessert · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau du Petit Thouars L'Epee Chinon Rouge 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| English Blood Red Blend Columbia Valley signed by All Time Low 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.43 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Meursault 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Meiomi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ryder Estate Pinot Noir Rose Central Coast 2020 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Derby Cinsault Piekenierskloof 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Underwood Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Graville Lacoste Graves Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Indian Wells Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2022 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montinore Estate L'Orange Willamette Valley 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection 100 Percent Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars A2 Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra The McNab McNab Ranch Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jomain Bourgogne Blanc 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greenwing Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Rose 2x750 mL Mulitipack rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $79.99 $84.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Chant du Soleil Rose Tavel 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Line 39 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Luchador Tempranillo Calatayud 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Vega Cabernet Sauvignon Central Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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