Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept Chardonnay Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Wehlener Sonnenuhr Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose Zuccardi Malbec Valle de Uco 2020 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LEcole No 41 Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Spring Vouvray 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +4% if it rises |
| Anne Amie Vineyards Two Estates Pinot Gris 2021 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bertrand Delespierre Enfant de la Montagne Brut Champagne Montagne de Reims 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 19% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine Tempier Bandol Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Asti Spumante sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Auslese 2021 white · Mosel · 375 ml | $15.23 $50.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.53 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karine Lauverjat Sancerre Rose 2025 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolas Chemarin P'tit Grobis Beaujolais Villages 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexana Terroir Series Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon California Bourbon Barrel Aged red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% premium | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Catena Appellation La Consulta Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chaya Moscato d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mayu Pedro Ximenez Valle de Elqui 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Collection Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert Red Blend California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Portlandia Big Believer Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintsbury Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyards Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Four Graces Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| V5 Vasca Cinque Rosato di Nero d'Avola Terre Siciliane 2021 rosé · Sicily · 3000 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yalumba Y Series Shiraz South Eastern Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boundary Breaks Dry Riesling No 239 Finger Lakes 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rauzan Segla Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $70.93 $260 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Majo Norante Sangiovese Terre degli Osci 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Cras Chambolle Musigny 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2024 white · Loire · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Rimbert Vin Orange Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Pauline Sancerre 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $33.99 | — | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| La Nerthe Les Cassagnes Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Mount Fishtail Sur Lie Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nube Tempranillo Blanco Rioja 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oyster Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 14% premium | 3% |
| Podere Brizio Rosso di Montalcino 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Crusher Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Two Vintners Winery Zinfandel Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.23 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Au Contraire Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de la Mulonniere Savennieres 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chimney Rock Elevage Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vetriccie White Corse 2021 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2020 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Bien Nacido Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| High Heaven Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Majestic Pines Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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