Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markham Vineyards Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $26.99 Sale | ▲ 3.8% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Rose Bubbles 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | <1% |
| Rebellious Pinot Noir California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Rose Burgenland 2017 sparkling · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Coelho Winery Pinot Noir Delfina Vineyard McMinnville 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Besson Le Petit Pretan Givry Rouge 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Marrans Les Marrans Fleurie 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Syrah Mendocino California 2022 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pares Balta Pink Brut Cava de Garda sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| White Dot Moschofilero Malagousia Peloponnese 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auntsfield Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Bubbly Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 13% premium | 2% |
| Charles and Charles Double Trouble Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lemonade Stand at Main and Vine Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Line 39 Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +12% if it rises |
| Marof Beli Kriz Prekmurje Blanc Slovenia 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 6 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| All Time Low Presents English Blood Red Blend Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auntsfield Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | 13% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Vaudesir Chablis Grand Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.13 $76.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Sauvignon Blanc Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Noir Mendocino County 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $30.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terrazze dell'Etna Carusu 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tiefenbrunner Pinot Grigio 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine In Books Red Organic Spain 2021 red · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gelida Brut Gran Reserva Cava 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| 7 Deadly Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Antinori Antica Estate Townsend Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $30.93 $115 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Gautheron Chablis Vielles Vignes 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Coyam Red Blend Los Robles Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden Chardonnay California 2019 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Francois Merieau J'ose Les Fines Bulles Brut Touraine 2019 sparkling · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Tualatin Estate Tualatin Hills 2017 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Diversite Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Miraval Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 13% premium | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Ice Imperial Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Mount Fishtail Sauvignon Blanc Sur Lie Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nube Tempranillo Blanco Rioja 2022 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ogier Artesis Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Radley and Finch the Profs Pinotage Western Cape 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ryan Patrick Pinot Grigio Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Crossings Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Baigorri Negu Rioja 2024 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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