Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Les Millaux Bordeaux Blanc white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.6% | 24% below | 1% |
| Top Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | ▼ 10.0% | ▼ 18.2% | 24% below | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 23% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 23% below | 1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | 23% below | 2% |
| Astica Chardonnay Argentina white · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2025 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 26.7% | 23% below | 8% typically +12% if it rises |
| Jean Claude Mas Vinus Clairette du Languedoc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Robert Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.99 $54.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | 23% below | 5% typically +8% if it rises |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Gallo Family Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.74 $11.49 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23% below | 1% |
| Planet Oregon Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | <1% |
| Bella Sera Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | 23% below | 2% |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.99 | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2022 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Borges Gatao Vinho Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23% below | 13% typically +10% if it rises |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2023 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 23% below | 1% |
| Matteo Braidot Pinot Grigio Friuli 2019 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% below | 1% |
| Vistalba Corte C Mendoza Tinto 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Cafaggio Basilica Solatio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau La Grange Clinet Cotes de Bordeaux Reserve 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Rene Couly Chinon Rose 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 22% below | 4% |
| Jacob's Creek Shiraz Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 3% |
| Villa Wolf Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2023 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Broomstick Brew Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% below | 5% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Coili Senesi 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bodegas Ondalan Madurado 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $23.13 $77.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | 22% below | 4% |
| Le Breuvage Viognier Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Villa San Juliette Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Frontera White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 22% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stoller Family Estate Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Frankenstein Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2019 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.73 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 21% below | 19% typically +11% if it rises |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Rouge Swartland 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine Royal de Jarras Pink Flamingo Rose Sable de Camargue rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 21% below | 1% |
701–750 of 9,968← PreviousNext →