Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $54.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon La Justice Gevrey Chambertin 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silenus Merlot Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Urbans Hof Mehringer Alte Reben Riesling Mosel 2018 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joel Curveux En Recepey Pouilly Fuisse 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Alta Chardonnay Mendoza 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smith Madrone Cabernet Sauvignon Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $55.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chehalem Winery Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iterum Orchard House Vineyard Estate Clone 114 Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Griffons de Pichon Baron Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $70.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boekenhoutskloof The Chocolate Block Red Blend Franschhoek Valley 2023 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Resonance Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.93 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terre del Barolo Arnaldo Rivera Barolo Monvigliero 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2018 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre de Fontval Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Champagne Charles Mignon Premium Reserve Brut NV sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau Doisy Vedrines Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Old Vine Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Vaillon Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Furioso Vineyards Pinot Noir Trovato Vineyard Yamhill Carlton 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Henri Bourgeois Les Baronnes Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Winemaker Series Red Blend 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| El Coto Imaz Reserva Rioja 2015 red · Rioja · 1500 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars AVA Series Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.03 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Far Niente Chardonnay Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas 4040 Red Blend Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bryn Mawr Vineyards Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de La Chapelle Pouilly Fuisse Grand Climats 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $42.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rose 2020 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raeburn Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Warre's Otima Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 3.6% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Arrowood Cabernet Sauvignon Knights Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2017 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Coutet Barsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca Rome Barolo Cerretta 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
701–750 of 2,525← PreviousNext →