Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rouge 2018 red · Provence · 750 ml | $18.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Layer Cake Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mauro Molino Barbera d'Asti Leradici 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Truchard Cabernet Sauvignon Carneros Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Pouilly Fume 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Familia Escudero Solar de Becquer Gran Reserva Rioja 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Januik Columbia Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pretty Venom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley signed by All Time Low 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stefania Kharkiv Sparkling Semi Dry Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Wolf Sparkling Pinot Noir Rose Pfalz sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | 4% |
| Yarden Pinot Gris Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antucura Barrandica Malbec Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Coeur de Terre Heritage Reserve Estate Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Pinot Noir Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Lemonade Stand at Main and Vine Strawberry Lemonade Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lightpost Winery Ignition San Luis Obispo County 2018 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 20.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marziano Abbona Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Crusher Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Gravity Merlot Horse Heaven Hills 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| B Side Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 11% premium | 2% |
| Charles Smith The Velvet Devil Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Dalton Canaan White Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2024 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco Bordini 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hook or Crook Cellars Winemaker's Select Field Blend Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St. Urbans Hof Ockfener Bockstein Kabinett 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butcher's Daughter Rose Pay's D'Oc 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Dixie and Bass Columbia Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay North Coast Reserve white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 11% premium | <1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Perigee Estate Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Carmenere Apalta Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Pora 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | 1% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Criss Cross Petite Sirah Clarksburg 2017 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DaVinci Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Fitz Ritter Gewurztraminer Spatlese Pfalz 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.53 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Merryvale Starmont Chardonnay Carneros white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montgras Antu Single Vineyard Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Block N 16 El Sauce Peumo 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mulderbosch Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Coastal Region 2023 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | <1% |
| Catena Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 12% premium | 1% |
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