Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine Dominique and Janine Crochet Sancerre Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Legendes Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10% premium | 1% |
| Sea Smoke Ten Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 23.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Virtue Cellars Enthusiasm Grenache Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Semi Dry Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bartenura Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 9.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Calera Ryan Vineyard Pinot Noir Mt Harlan 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.73 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas m100 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Hobbs Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruhlmann Plaisir Fruite Pinot Blanc Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Costes du Chateau Feret Lambert Bordeaux Superieur 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Puligny Montrachet 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ghost Pines Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Herzog Lineage Momentus Sparkling White Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Christopher Basalte Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Claude Mas AllNatt Vermentino Pays d'Oc 2020 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Roederer Blanc de Blanc Champagne 2017 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Manos Negras Stone Soil Malbec Paraje Altamire Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rickshaw Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Julia Malbec Uco Valley Reserva 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Soaked Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| A to Z Wineworks Bubbles Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodega Garzon Sauvignon Blanc Uruguay Reserva 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.93 $40.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cockburn's Fine Ruby Port dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Farmers Market Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port Gift Tin dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Jacquin's Creme de Menthe White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maui Blanc Pineapple Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pink Glasses Garnacha Rose Valencia 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $4.13 $13.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Porta 6 Vinho Tinto Lisboa Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 15.8% | ▲ 29.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Submission Cabernet Sauvignon California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Port dessert · Douro · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 9.5% | ▲ 27.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| B R Cohn Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Christian Brothers Ruby Port California dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Christopher Michael Red Blend Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DFJ Portada White Lisboa Reserva 2021 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Cristia Cotes du Rhone Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cru Classe Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Muga Blanco Rioja 2025 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nobilo Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
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