Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $8.03 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Juice Asylum Il Terzo Grado Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zacharias Assyrtiko Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allegrini Palazzo della Torre Veronese Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Aveleda Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Mukhrani Rkatsiteli Kartli 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2020 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.53 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Molino di Grace Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Riverstone Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Wing Blackberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Marc Hebrart Brut Rose Champagne 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 $69.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mt Beautiful Sauvignon Blanc North Canterbury 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Petrolo Torrione Val d'Arno di Sopra Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Purple Haze Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sierra Del Mar Pinot Noir Clarksburg 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waris Hubert Lilyale Blanc de Blancs Zero Dosage Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Ronchi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Bourgueil Cuvee Alouettes 2024 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Baudana 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saxon Brown Pinot Noir Fighting Brothers Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terredora Di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Xavier Frissant Touraine Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Chauvet Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Croix du Casse Pomerol 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Clos des Folatieres 1er Cru 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Quail Oak Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +12% if it rises |
| R Lopez de Heredia Vina Cubillo Crianza Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $32.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Grande Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aveleda Fonte Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bailly Lapierre Cremant de Bourgogne Rose sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Calera Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Canvasback Cabernet Sauvignon Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Seguinot Bordet Chablis 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Grey Stack Chardonnay Four Brothers Vineyard Bennet Valley Sonoma County 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| House of the Dragon Red Wine Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 1% |
| Lingua Franca Avni Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Lara Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mouton Cadet x Nathan Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Nicodemi Notari Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Colline Teramane 2017 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 311 Chardonnay Australia 2022 white · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill Merlot Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $39.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 48.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
6,651–6,700 of 9,968← PreviousNext →