Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achaia Cellars Moschofilero Mantinia White 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ameztoi Getariaka Txakolina Blanco 2024 white · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodega Garzon Albarino Uruguay Reserva 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Red Blend red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Mikael Boutin MB Rasteau Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Ferrand Cotes du Rhone Classique Mistral 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $28.43 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hearst Ranch Winery Three Sisters White Cuvee White Wine Blend Paso Robles 2021 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Dragon de Quintus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mar de Vinas Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Plumpjack Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Smoking Loon Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Rad Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vietti Castiglione Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willm Rose Pinot Noir Cremant D'Alsace Brut Methode Traditionelle sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cascade Cliffs Vineyard Merlot Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $280 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dievole Vigna Di Sessina Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Renne Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Erbeldinger Spatburgunder Rheinhessen 2018 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folly of the Beast Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Haut Bailly II Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Manciat Macon Charnay 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oko Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montestefano 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Muncagota 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 1% |
| Rapaura Springs Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Qba Riesling Mosel Dry 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banshee Morning Light Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Puyanche Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Montfort Vouvray red · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 25.0% | ▲ 66.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Fouquette Rose d Aurore Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Farondes Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Pere Caboche Elisabeth Chambellan Chateauneuf du Pape Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emerson Brown Ranch Pequeno Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $27.73 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hikari White Plum Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| La Spinona Barolo Bergera Pezzole Sori Gepin 2018 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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