Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Primal Roots Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Thread Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignoble Dauny Caillottes Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Acinum Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.76 $13.52 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alamos Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Breca el Nacido Garnacha Calatyud 2023 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $92.73 $303 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Lunatique Rouge Oregon 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Cana Albarino 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sterling Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.49 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Unshackled Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | ▼ 12.7% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yealands Lighter Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden West Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▼ 1.5% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Periquita Reserva Setubal 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | <1% |
| Pewsey Vale Dry Riesling Eden Valley Estate 2021 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau de L'Aubrade Entre Deux Mers 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Laroque Rose Cite de Carcassonne 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Imperial Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $30.99 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 24.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sean Minor Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Viberti La Gemella Barbera d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignerons de Bel Air Chardonnay Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boutinot La Fleur Solitaire Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 9% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Nico Grand Mere Pinot Noir Soeur et Freres Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon Napa County 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Escudo Rojo Red Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Winery Syrah Santa Barbara County 2021 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Beaujolais Villages 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Fontanelles Chardonnay Pays d'Oc 2022 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Milbrandt Family Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moco da Ponte Vinho Verde Minho white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Neil Ellis The Left Bank Red Blend Stellenbosch 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Serge Dagueneau Les Pentes Pouilly Fume 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silver Thread Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2021 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| 1924 Bourbon Barrel Aged Double Black Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 $17.49 Sale | ▲ 2.9% | ▲ 45.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
6,551–6,600 of 9,968← PreviousNext →