Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Crimes the Bride of Frankenstein Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Doisy Daene Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Bee You Riesling Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 4% |
| Le Altane Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Manischewitz Cream White Concord white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | 25% below | 1% |
| Sao Goncalo Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Terrazze dell' Etna Carusu Etna Rosso 2015 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Villa Wolf Riesling Dry Pfalz 2022 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego El Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Domaine de l?Olivette La Grande Cuvee Sylvabelle Bandol Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Fugaz Loureiro Vinho Verde 2024 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Horny Owl Sauvignon Blanc Western Cape 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Shannon Ridge High Elevation Collection Petite Sirah Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Waterbrook Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25% below | <1% |
| Pierre Peters Cuvee Reserve Blanc de Blancs Champagne Brut Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $48.63 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 25% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Achaia Cellars Roditis Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 25% below | 1% |
| Brancott Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 25% below | 4% |
| Monkey Bay Sauvignon Blanc New Zealand white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 25% below | 1% |
| Schlink Haus Dornfelder Nahe 2021 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Shannon Ridge High Elevation Collection Petite Sirah Lake County 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Karia Chardonnay Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $36.99 Sale | ▼ 7.5% | ▲ 5.7% | 25% below | 3% |
| Bodegas Frutos Villar Muruve Tinta de Toro Roble Toro 2019 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Gran Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2024 white · 750 ml | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 1% |
| Milbrandt Vineyards Family Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25% below | <1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Chardonnay Truchard Vineyard Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.03 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 1% |
| Marques de Riscal Arienzo Rioja Crianza 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25% below | 1% |
| The Winery at Wilcox Elk Country Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 25% below | 9% typically +10% if it rises |
| Virtue Cellars Reverence Merlot Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 24% below | 1% |
| Brooks Winery La Chenaie Vineyard Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | 24% below | 5% |
| Charles Smith Vino Sangiovese Rose Washington 2020 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 24% below | 4% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Orin Swift Papillon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Shannon Ridge High Elevation Collection Petite Sirah Lake County 2023 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | 1% |
| Domaine Clavel Regulus Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Juve Y Camps Reserva de la Familia Cava Gran Reserva 2017 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Le Bois Dore Chenin Blanc Saumur 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $6.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Sherwood Estate Pinot Noir Waipara Valley 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 24% below | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 9.1% | 24% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Jean Claude Mas Vinus Clairette du Languedoc 2024 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 24% below | 1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Love My Goat Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 24% below | 5% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Elton Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% below | <1% |
| Cannonball Chardonnay 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 24% below | 1% |
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