Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontellon Albarino Rias Biaxas 2019 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roaming Dog Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.53 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Farm Fresh Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| J M Fonseca Twin Vines Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.13 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pazo de Villarei Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Underwood Mountain Riesling Columbia Gorge 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bandit Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $1.73 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Barnard Griffin Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tattoo Girl Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint M Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sokol Blosser Evolution Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sunny with a Chance of Flowers Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | ▲ 4.2% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cru Winery Unoaked Chardonnay Arroyo Seco Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne One Sixteen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| O Organics Organic Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Villa Jolanda Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Huberts Chardonnay The Stag white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tavernello Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Winzer Krems Classic Gruner Veltliner Trocken Niederosterreich 2023 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Airfield Estates Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Cana Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Red Newt Cellars Blue Newt White Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 3.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tabor Winery Mt Tabor Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Head High Chardonnay Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hyland Estates Old Vine Riesling Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison De Madeleine Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Supery Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Weinrieder Ried Schneiderberg Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cave de Ribeauville Muscat Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dr Konstantin Frank Gewurztraminer Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Riverstone Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Seifried Sauvignon Blanc Nelson 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barnard Griffin Riesling Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colome Estate Torrontes Salta 2024 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Diemersdal Sauvignon Blanc Cape Town 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Schlink Haus Riesling Nahe Auslese 2021 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bergevin Lane Vineyards Linen Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Broadbent Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +10% if it rises |
| Mud House Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2025 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
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