Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanati David's Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee Reserve 2018 red · 750 ml | $14.03 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Alpha Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Sahari Beni N'Tir Gris Cuvee Morocco 2021 red · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domenico Clerico Langhe Nebbiolo Capisme-e 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +37% if it rises |
| Tenuta Degli Dei Le Redini Toscana 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Penamonte Coleccion Privada Toro Tinto 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Veeder Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Snowden Vineyards Merlot Lost Vineyard Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bixby Creek Bridge Red Blend Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.09 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Carlos Serres Rioja Gran Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Giscours Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Gevrey Chambertin 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.53 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donati Family Vineyard Claret Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenute Ca 'Botta Alta Valpolicella Ripasso Superiore 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.49 | ▲ 2.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cerro Chapeu Reserva Tannat 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini San Biagio Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlas Peak American Super Tuscan Blend Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Peyruguet Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raymond District Collection Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Mas des Falaises Cairanne 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Moraia Il Pacchia Rosso Maremma 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.93 $77.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lodi Ave Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $5.39 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $18.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chronic Cellars Sir Real Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Inglenook Rubicon Rutherford 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trivento Maximum Red Blend Reserve Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Beaumont Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bruno Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Girard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Mountain Cuvee Sonoma County 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dezzani Il Cavaliere Barbera Piemonte 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fairsing Vineyard Pinot Noir Yamhill Carlton 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gorman Winery The Devil Makes Three Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Turpin Cuvee Domaine Menetou Salon 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Selection de la Hante Chenas 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Joseph Pascal Pinot Noir Bourgogne Cote d'Or 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark Ryan Winery Board Track Speed Racer Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Vineyards Merlot Red Mountain Estate Bottled 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lodi Ave Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $2.93 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luis Marin Amethyst Edition Old Vine Garnacha Crianza Carinena 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bound and Determined Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Dominique Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feisty Citrus Inspiration Orange Blossom Dry Mead 2016 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terras Gauda Abadia de San Campio Rias Baixas 2023 red · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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