Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Bookwalter Protagonist Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $22.73 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark Ryan Winery Dissident Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Podere Brizio Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ricasoli Colledila Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 106% premium | <1% |
| The Prisoner Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Charisma Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Blend Alexander Valley Sonoma County 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Hope Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beau Vigne Romeo Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Chasse Spleen Moulis en Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 122% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Coizet Bages Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Sansonnet Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.93 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Billard Pere et Fis Pommard 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.79 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Pascal et Fils Puligny Montrachet 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dumol Wester Reach Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $48.03 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Pinot Noir Clos Prieur Gevrey Chambertin 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giovanni Rosso Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goldeneye Pinot Noir Anderson Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 46% below | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Dragon de Quintus Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay La Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| San Polo Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenute Silvio Nardi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Patriarch Vineyard Sonoma Coast 2016 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Venge Vineyards Silencieux Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Virginie de Valandraud Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Andrea Oberto Barolo Albarella 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard BV Rutherford Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Capanna Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carpineto Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Barde Haut Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beychevelle Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Kirwan Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lagrange Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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