Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoinos Aurelia Extra Dry Epirus Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Bonanza Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Secret Desire White Mocha American Cream white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 76% premium | <1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Brunes 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 76% premium | <1% |
| Baia Krakhuna White Blend Imereti Georgia 2023 white · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 77% premium | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 4.3% | ▲ 10.0% | 78% premium | 41% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sulavi Pirosmani Semi Dry Red Kakheti Georgia red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | 1% |
| Felino Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.6% | 80% premium | 4% |
| Papi Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chandon Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 10.6% | ▲ 15.0% | 89% premium | 2% |
| McBride Sisters Black Girl Magic Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▼ 10.7% | 0.0% | 92% premium | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Valley of the Moon Pinot Gris Viognier 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 92% premium | <1% |
| Terras Do Grifo Douro Red Wine red · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | — | 97% premium | 5% |
| Rhonea Trias Beaume de Venise Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | — | 109% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Ducasse Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | 112% premium | 1% |
| Embroidery Pinot Noir Monterey County Central Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 117% premium | <1% |
6,401–6,416 of 6,416← Previous