Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines
WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—15% below<1%
Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2022
red · 750 ml
$2.53 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zuccardi Serie A Malbec Valle de Uco 2023
red · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zuccardi Serie A Torrontes 2023
white · 750 ml
$6.59 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Zuccardi Serie A Torrontes Salta 2020
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—9% below<1%
Zuri Getariako Txakolina 2022
red · 750 ml
$7.93 $23.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
iLauri Chiola Cerasuolo d'Abruzzo 2021
red · Abruzzo · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
le Fat Bastard Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced5%
typically +6% if it rises
le Fat Bastard Chardonnay
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +6% if it rises
le Fat Bastard Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.09 $13.49 Clearance 0.0%▲ 12.5%Fairly priced1%
le Fat Bastard Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced5%
typically +6% if it rises
le Fat Bastard Syrah
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.73 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced<1%
te Pa Pinot Gris Marlborough
white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 $20.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced14%
typically +5% if it rises
te Pa Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$11.99 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
the beachhouse Pinot Grigio delle Venezie
white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced4%
the beachhouse Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.49 0.0%▲ 4.2%Fairly priced4%
6,401–6,416 of 6,416← Previous