Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Bastide Saint Dominique Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 $39.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Ruchette Doree Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Haut Medoc de Giscours Haut Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Exotic White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Natura Organic Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pehu Simonet Face Nord Brut Champagne Grand Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ponzi Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Amaranta di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $10.43 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Terra d'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2020 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vietti Roero Arneis 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale White Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Be Human Merlot Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blalock and Moore Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Boundary Breaks 239 Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2019 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Centerstone Unoaked Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Haut Bailly Pessac Leognan 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $160 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Jeanniard Pinot Noir Cote d'Or Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.63 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Far Mountain Fission Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $21.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firesteed Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Forge Cellars Cabernet Franc Railroad Vineyard Finger Lakes 2023 red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Organico 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lapostolle Apalta Red Rapel Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Le Vaucrain Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Bianco Italia Box white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Rose Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Capanna Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Nicolas Red Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Marquis Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| EthicDrinks Biodiversite Syrah IGP Pays d'Oc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Knotty Vines Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 17.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| La Petite Frog Cotes de Thau Languedoc Blanc Box 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Blue Eyed Boy Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Muirwood Vaquero Block Cabernet Sauvignon Arroyo Secco Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pike Road Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Giovese Vino Rosso Italia Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Virtue Cellars Tenacity GSM Red Blend Reserve Red Mountain 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Westmount Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Drappier Carte d'Or Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Rich and Buttery Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.1% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frey Biodynamic Chardonnay Mendocino 2023 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greg Norman Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Intrinsic Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Christopher Lumiere Pinot Noir Eola Amity 2014 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jose de Sousa Red Blend Alentejo 2017 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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