Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Six Hats Fedora Chenin Blanc Piekenierskloof 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Santi Sortesele Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 53% premium | 1% |
| Simi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | 53% premium | 4% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Santa Facts Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Terrazas de los Andes Malbec Mendoza Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | 54% premium | 5% |
| Pala S'Arai Isola dei Nuraghi 2021 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des 2 Anes Fontanilles Corbieres 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fantinel Borgo Tessis Pinot Grigio Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Villa Cerna Primocolle Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Chandon Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 10.6% | ▲ 15.0% | 55% premium | 4% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Aveleda Solos de Xisto Vinho Verde Alvarinho 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Old Vine Ranch Old Vine Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wagner Vineyards Riesling Caywood East Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Mateus Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 45.5% | 56% premium | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Monnalisa Sangiovese di Romagna Superiore red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Oc 2022 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% premium | <1% |
| Little Goat Creek Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blue Nun Authentic White Rhinehessen white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.23 $17.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 2.9% | 58% premium | 1% |
| Hob Nob Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.6% | 58% premium | 1% |
| Santa Julia Chimango Natural Rose Mendoza 2024 rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Dei Rosso di Montepulciano 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Smith and Hook Sauvignon Blanc Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| Les Tetes Tete Orange Vin de France Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Oc 2023 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Lillet Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 13.6% | ▲ 25.0% | 60% premium | 1% |
| Solnato Rosso Roma 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Cerna Primocolle Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Taylor Cream Sherry dessert · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie 2x750 mL white · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 61% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Alize Red Passion red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Laurence et Remi Dufaitre Premices Beaujolais Villages 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% premium | <1% |
| Domaine du Mortier Brain de Folie Vin de France Rouge 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.83 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 63% premium | 5% |
| Jean Perrier Cremant de Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lasorda Family Wines Chardonnay Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 63% premium | 1% |
| Seven Daughters Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | 9% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bodega Garzon Tannat Uruguay Reserva 2023 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 65% premium | 1% |
| Risata Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 66% premium | 1% |
| Wine Chat Nothing Says Christmas White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | ▲ 7.7% | — | 67% premium | 1% |
| Yellow Tail Pinot Grigio Reserve white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 67% premium | 1% |
| Susana Balbo Wines Signature Barrel Fermented Torrontes Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Sunwine Black Cliffs Saperavi Georgia Red Wine 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Pasaeli K2 Blend AegeanTurkey Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 68% premium | <1% |
| Borne of Fire Cabernet Sauvignon The Burn red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | 4% |
| Sulavi Alazani Valley Semi Sweet Red Kakheti Ceramic red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 69% premium | 1% |
| Tres Ojos Old Vines Garnacha Calatayud 2021 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 70% premium | <1% |
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