Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hentley Farm Riesling Eden Valley 2021 white · Barossa · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meiomi Rose California 2021 rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Miss Molly Sparkling Shiraz Australia 2022 sparkling · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Prophecy Buttery Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Quinta da Calcada Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.23 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ampelaia Unlitro Costa Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 1000 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bread and Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Suduiraut Blanc Sec de Sudiraut Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Creamery Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Marsannay Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Elizabeth Rose Pinot Noir Napa Valley 2023 rosé · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Whatever Valencia Crianza 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Doucet et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Plungerhead Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sartori Love Story Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terra D'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Vale de Lobos Tejo Reserva 2018 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Souverain Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Creative Juice Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Domaine Romuald Petit Roche Noire Morgon Beaujolais 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.13 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglia Bianchi Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fetzer Gewurztraminer Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Franzia Dark Red red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Headturner Chardonnay Horse Heaven Hills 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hikari Red Plum Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lindeman's Bin 65 Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 3.7% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| M Chapoutier Belleruche Cotes du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.83 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin White Galilee 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Vins Breban Winter en Provence Coteaux Varios en Provence 2021 red · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avia Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Black Cottage Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico Riserva 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Bourdieu Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Frantz Chagnoleau La Roche Saint Veran 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Lafage Miraflors Rose IGP Cotes Catalanes 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 7% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Gewurztraminer Harth Cuvee Caroline 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Barolo Bricco Delle Viole 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $28.93 $94.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Notios White Blend Peloponnese 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hungry Run Cellars Red Raspberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Iron and Sand Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jaume Serra Cristalino Serra Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Jean Francois Protheau Hautes Cotes de Beaune Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
6,301–6,350 of 9,968← PreviousNext →