Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Coujan La Pinot Noir Vin de France 2024 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $20.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Saracina Sauvignon Blanc Mendocino County 2023 white · 750 ml | $19.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes The Warden Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.69 $18.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 47% premium | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Morande Vigno Old Vines Dry Farmed Red Blend Maule Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nautilus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Big Smooth Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.89 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.5% | 47% premium | 2% |
| Broadbent Rainwater Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Wente Vineyards Chardonnay Riva Ranch Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | 48% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wine Chat Nothing Says Christmas White Wine white · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.1% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +4% if it rises |
| Harken Chardonnay Barrel Fermented white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Roscato Rosso and Moscato 2x750 mL Variety Pack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau de la Greffiere Chardonnay Macon Milly Lamartine 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 48% premium | <1% |
| M Minuty Cotes de Provence Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 3.9% | 0.0% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Karavitakis Kompsos Liatiko Crete Greece Red 2024 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi San Angelo Pinot Grigio Toscana white · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $20.49 Sale | ▲ 2.5% | ▲ 13.9% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Ste Michelle Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Santa Carolina Gran Reserva Sauvignon Blanc Valle de Leyda 2021 white · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Sweet Red Brachetto red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 49% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Julia La Oveja Natural Torrontes Maipu 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Santa Julia La Oveja Natural Torrontes Maipu 2024 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 49% premium | <1% |
| Amos Baneres Hey Penedes 2020 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Porkpie Red Blend Piekenierskloof 2015 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 50% premium | 1% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2021 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 50% premium | 4% |
| Terra Madre Plavac Mali Dalmatia Croatia Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Lavau Rasteau 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Ruta 22 Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hecht and Bannier Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Organic 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Ca' Liptra Arancio Vino Bianco Marche 2019 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dubonnet Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Mas Cremat L'Envie Organic Cotes du Roussillon Rouge 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Cecchi Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 35.3% | 52% premium | 5% |
| Fritz Muller Rose Secco rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Smith and Hook Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Unshackled Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Chocolate in a Bottle Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Juxtapoz Red Blend North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Starmont Sauvignon Blanc Lake County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clouston and Co Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Hartley And Gibson Pedro Ximenez Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 5% |
| Semeli Armonia Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Renesio Roero Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Ole Smoky White Chocolate Strawberry Cream white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pareto's Estate Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Reserva de Familia Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Matua Sauvignon Blanc Bagnum Bag 2025 white · 1500 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Ontanon Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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