Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Yori Wine Cellars Riesling
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$17.99——Fairly priced12%
typically +6% if it rises
Black Pearl Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region 2021
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$3.93 $15.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bodegas Ego Infinito Monastrell Jumilla 2020
red · 750 ml
$16.99 0.0%—7% premium<1%
Bojador White Alentejo 2021
white · 750 ml
$7.03 $13.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99 $24.99 Sale▲ 4.2%▲ 8.7%Fairly priced6%
typically +5% if it rises
Casas del Bosque Pinot Noir Rose Las Dichas Casablanca Valley 2025
rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced<1%
Chateau de Fieuzal Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$25.99 $27.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Bousquet Cabernet Sauvignon Tupungato Reserve 2021
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$15.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine de la Chapelle AX B Pouilly Fuisse 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$29.99 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Franciscan Estate Chardonnay Monterey County
white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
H Luxury Collection by Havens Cabernet Sauvignon 2018
red · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced1%
Hogue Cellars Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2021
white · Washington · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kakhuri Gvinis Marani Semi Sweet Saperavi Kindzmarauli Pitcher Georgia 2020
red · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Kuranui Sauvignon Blanc
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +8% if it rises
Love and Squalor Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rombauer Vineyards Zinfandel 2023
red · 750 ml
$39.99——Fairly priced1%
Sandboy Albarino Rias Baixas 2023
white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml
$11.39 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Saronsberg Provenance Shiraz South Africa 2022
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$13.99 $15.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Sella and Mosca La Cala Vermentino di Sardegna 2021
white · 750 ml
$13.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sutter Home Chardonnay 2x1.5 L Multipack
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99▲ 8.7%▲ 25.0%Fairly priced2%
Truchard Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Airfield Estates Merlot Yakima Valley 2021
red · Washington · 750 ml
$5.63 $18.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Badenhorst Secateurs Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023
white · Western Cape · 750 ml
$10.73 $17.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barefoot Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99 0.0%▲ 19.1%Fairly priced2%
Bolla Sangiovese
red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 0.0%▼ 6.3%Fairly priced6%
typically +4% if it rises
Bota Box Chardonnay
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$24.99▲ 4.2%▲ 8.7%7% premium2%
Carpineto Brunello di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$38.73 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Cap de Mourlin Saint Emilion 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Citran Haut Medoc 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine de la Croix des Vainqueurs Vouvray Brut Nonvintag
sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99——Fairly priced4%
Elk Cove Estate Riesling Willamette Valley 2022
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$21.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Finca Mendel Cabernet Sauvignon Lujan de Cuyo Mendoza Estate 2020
red · Mendoza · 750 ml
$7.23 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Folonari Pinot Grigio
white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $18.99 Sale▼ 4.0%▲ 18.8%Fairly priced3%
Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Finger Lakes
red · Finger Lakes · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$18.99▲ 11.8%▲ 35.7%Fairly priced2%
Jam Jar Sweet Shiraz
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.39 0.0%▲ 4.0%Fairly priced5%
Mionetto Prosecco Brut
sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99 $19.99 Sale▲ 13.0%▲ 17.7%Fairly priced2%
Planeta Etna Rosso 2020
red · Sicily · 750 ml
$12.53 $24.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Six Hats Chenin Blanc 2024
white · 750 ml
$7.19 $11.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sun Soaked Caramel Apple Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.19 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +4% if it rises
Terra D'Oro Chenin Blanc Viognier Clarksburg 2023
white · 750 ml
$14.99——Fairly priced1%
Toi Toi Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$8.99 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Walla Walla Vintners Merlot Walla Walla Valley 2019
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Wapisa Malbec Patagonia 2022
red · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Barefoot Sweet Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%▲ 12.5%Fairly priced6%
typically +11% if it rises
Blandy's Verdelho Madeira 10 Year Old
dessert · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$33.99 $37.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Butcher's Daughter Chardonnay Pay's D'Oc 2022
white · 750 ml
$6.93 $20.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Clos du Bois Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99▼ 6.3% 0.0%Fairly priced7%
typically +4% if it rises
Cupcake Vineyards Chardonnay Butterkissed
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$12.99▼ 7.1%▲ 8.3%Fairly priced7%
typically +6% if it rises
DaVinci Pinot Grigio
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$16.99▲ 6.3%▲ 13.3%7% premium3%
6,251–6,300 of 9,968← PreviousNext →