Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hacienda de Arinzano Tempranillo Rose Navarra 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pico Maccario Lavignone Barbera d'Asti 2022 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Tradition Bandol Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warre's Warrior Reserve Ruby Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Frescobaldi Nipozzano Chianti Riserva Rufina 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Orange Gold made with Organic Grapes Vin de France 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Funckenhausen Malbec Mendoza La Espera 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Zorrito Natural Orange Wine Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alamos Seleccion Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | 43% premium | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Mastroberardino Nero a Meta Campania Bianco 2019 white · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Sparkling Niagara Lehigh Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | — | — | 43% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| J Lohr Seven Oaks Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.5% | 43% premium | 4% |
| Vilarnau Brut Sleeve Reserva Organic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trust Cellars Riesling Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuccardi Q Malbec Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Marchese Luca Spinola della Cascina Massimilliana Frizzante Rosato rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Les Aphillanthes Clementia Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2023 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Langlet Sauvignon Blanc Graves 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sella and Mosca Cannonau di Sardegna Riserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 43% premium | 1% |
| Wonderful Wine Company Organic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kenwood Sauvignon Blanc Six Ridges Alexander Valley white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.44 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| Tropical Cranberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Vendange Le Coz Mondeuse Vin de Savoie 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opici Red Blend Twist Bottle red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | 44% premium | 1% |
| Cesari Mara Ripasso Valpolicella red · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Gioiosa Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Frey Organic Pinot Noir Mendocino California 2023 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | <1% |
| Ramon Bilbao Early Harvest Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ohla White Catalunya Alcohol Removed white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ruffino Aziano Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pure Est Orange Macabeo Valencia 2022 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Gai'a Agiorgitiko Nemea Greece Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Homola Paloznak Balaton Hungary White Blend 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Pinot Grigio Ramato Friuli 2022 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Bisci Vermentino di Matelica 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barton and Guestier Tourmaline Rose Cotes de Provence rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 45% premium | 3% |
| Maggio Estates Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Planeta La Segreta Nero d'Avola 2021 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | — | 45% premium | 1% |
| Santa Gabriela Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $14.33 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ecco Domani Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | 45% premium | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Rapaura Springs Sauvignon Blanc Reserve 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% premium | <1% |
| Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 18% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pink Flamingo Catalina Estrada Gris de Gris Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Le Puy Duc des Nauves Expression Originale du Terroir Vin de France Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.39 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mendes and Symington Contacto Vinho Verde 2024 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Vullien et Fils Cremant de Savoie Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 46% premium | 1% |
| Ruffino Il Ducale Merlot Sangiovese red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.49 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barth Riesling Fructus 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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