Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aichinger Roter Traminer Kamptal 2021 red · 500 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Nodus Bobal Rosado Utiel Requena 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Vineyards Mt Jefferson Cuvee Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golan Heights Winery Gilgal Brut Golan Heights Israel 2022 sparkling · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Offerus Saint Joseph Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Chateau des Jacques Morgon Cru Beaujolais 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Majuelos Monte Obispo Single Vineyard Tempranillo Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Meyer Fonne Gewurztraminer Reserve Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | <1% |
| Portlandia Pinot Noir Oregon 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Winery Chardonnay Monterey County Aged in Bourbon Barrels white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ruhlmann Gewurztraminer Vieilles Vignes Alsace 2021 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Chardonnay Maule Valley Reserva 2024 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vivier Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Achaval Ferrer Malbec Finca Altamira Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $38.73 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alki Chardonnay Wahluke Slope 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Almaden Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bollinger Special Cuvee Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $69.99 | ▼ 23.9% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bota Box Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Paillet Quancard Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Souverain Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Tour Saint Christophe Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling GG Alte Reben 2021 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fre White Zinfandel Alcohol Removed rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 34.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +11% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 9.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa des Causses Malbec Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Lobetia Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Roederer Collection 243 Champagne Multi Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $52.73 $86.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Maison L Envoye Two Messengers Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Panthera Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schmitt Sohne Relax Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $15.49 Sale | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Spinelli Montepulciano Cannister red · Tuscany · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | ▲ 12.0% | — | Fairly priced | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| Travaglini Nebbiolo Coste delle Sesia 2019 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Truchard Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Waris Larmandier Racines de Trois Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Aresca San Luigi Nizza 2021 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argiolas Costera Cannonau di Sardegna 2022 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Baron de Ley Tempranillo Reserva Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Blackwater Lazy Lucy Rose Grenache Swartland 2023 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chevalier de la Cree Knights Templar Cuvee Pinot Noir Cote de Beaune 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Citruskissed Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Blanc 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $48.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dunham Three Legged Red Columbia Valley 2023 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Epiphany Rodney's Vineyards Mourvedre Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $9.13 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fattoria Felsina Chianti Classico 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $7.73 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Morette Bardolino Chiaretto Classico Rosato 2020 rosé · Veneto · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Robin Vosgros Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga el Anden de la Estacion Crianza 2022 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pfaffl Vom Haus Rose Niederosterreich 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
6,201–6,250 of 9,968← PreviousNext →