Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togonidze Mtsvane Rkatsiteli Georgia Dry Orange Wine 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decibel Sauvignon Blanc Hawke's Bay 2023 white · Hawke's Bay · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Our Daily Cab Organic Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 1% |
| Rainstorm Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 5.0% | ▲ 10.5% | Fairly priced | 26% typically +5% if it rises |
| Zuccardi Q Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Bookwalter Winery Readers Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Freire Lobo Vigno Granite Terroir Blend Dao 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | <1% |
| Arundel Cellars Falcon Red Lake Erie red · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 38% premium | 1% |
| Sherwood Estate Sauvignon Blanc Waipara Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 38% premium | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fleur de Prairie Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 6.1% | ▲ 31.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.21 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Marea Sauvignon Blanc Leyda Valley 2024 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | 1% |
| Jules Taylor Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Parker Estate Terra Rossa Cabernet Sauvignon Coonawarra 2021 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Basel Cellars Merriment Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2022 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| David Finlayson Chenin Blanc Old Vine Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Els Vinyerons Lluerna Xarel lo Penedes 2020 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Layer Cake Jampacked Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Borgo Paglianetto Petrara Verdicchio di Matelica 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Whiskey Barrel Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $19.49 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | — | 39% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 39% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ramon Bilbao Limited Edition Garnacha red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Luis Felipe Edwards Marea Chardonnay Valle de Leyda 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Veramonte Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 3% |
| Yori Wine Cellars Cabernet Franc red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | 40% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bogle Vineyards Phantom Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 9.1% | — | 40% premium | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sparkling Infusions Strawberry and Kiwi sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nine Hats Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Vina Robles Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ava Grace Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mirassou Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | 40% premium | 2% |
| Viarae Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehaven Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▼ 4.8% | ▲ 5.3% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Acrobat Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 4.2% | 40% premium | 4% |
| Carl Reh Riesling Piesporter Michelserg Spatlese white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 38.5% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lothian Vineyards Chardonnay Elgin 2019 white · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti Rosso di Torgiano Rubesco 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joel Gott Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | 41% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 41% premium | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Jules Taylor Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Harden Cabernet Sauvignon California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Rose Twin Pack 2x750mL rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Schlumberger Gruner Veltliner Niederoesterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ava Grace Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Saint Sulpice Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Casa Maschito Basilicata Rosso 2017 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinetta Vermentino Toscana 2025 white · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | 42% premium | <1% |
6,201–6,250 of 6,416← PreviousNext →